Estimating Monthly Tourist Population for Analysis of Green Tourism Potential in Village Level - A Case Study of Hahoe Village -

Researchers identified the optimal model for estimating monthly tourist populations in rural villages, using Hahoe Village (a UNESCO World Heritage Site) as a case study. The study found that a 6-year time series of data yields the most accurate predictions when applying the SARIMA(2,1,1)(1,1,2)12 model, which accounts for seasonal trends. By comparing predictions from different 6-year datasets (2000-2005, 2001-2006, and 2002-2007), the model demonstrated high accuracy with significant R² values. This approach provides a robust framework for assessing green tourism potential in village-level settings.

Gao, Y., Kim, D.-S., & Kim, Y.-H. (2011). Estimating Monthly Tourist Population for Analysis of Green Tourism Potential in Village Level - A Case Study of Hahoe Village -. Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning, 17(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.7851/ksrp.2011.17.1.001