Simulation of island ecotourism development based on SD and DPSIRM models: a case study of Amami-Oshima Island

A study on Amami-Oshima Island, part of the UNESCO World Heritage Sites, reveals that a balanced approach to ecotourism development—enhancing tourism benefits while conserving natural resources—yields the most effective outcomes. Using an optimized Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response-Management (DPSIRM) framework and System Dynamics (SD) modeling, researchers simulated various scenarios from 2010 to 2035. The Coordinated Development Model emerged as the optimal strategy, achieving a win-win balance between economic growth and ecological preservation. In contrast, models prioritizing either socioeconomic growth or strict ecological protection showed limitations, with the former lacking in service provision and the latter stifling tourism and economic activity. This research provides critical insights for policymakers, offering data-driven support for sustainable ecotourism planning.

Wang, Y., Endo, A., & Fukami, S. (2025). Simulation of island ecotourism development based on SD and DPSIRM models: a case study of Amami-Oshima Island. Environmental Research Communications, 7(4), 45011. https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/adc6dd